Climate science
Start with credible evidence and learn to read uncertainty and calibrated confidence language carefully.
A&A Practitioner Learning Series
A free, practitioner-oriented learning path for actuarial students and early-career actuaries—from climate science and scenarios to data, actuarial application, professional judgment and governance.
What the guide is designed to do
Climate-risk work sits at the intersection of science, economics, insurance and professional judgment. The guide provides a structured way to build that foundation and then connect it to actuarial work.
Start with credible evidence and learn to read uncertainty and calibrated confidence language carefully.
Understand what climate scenarios represent, how assumptions differ and why scenario outputs are not forecasts.
Trace climate drivers through exposure and vulnerability to actuarial assumptions, outcomes and decisions.
Examine provenance, limitations, transformations, documentation and the controls needed for responsible use.
A practical sequence
The objective is not to turn every actuary into a climate scientist. It is to develop enough literacy to ask better questions, interpret model outputs responsibly and document decisions transparently.
Understand observed change, impacts, adaptation and mitigation.
Starting point: IPCCExplore plausible pathways for physical and transition risk.
Starting point: NGFSConnect climate risk with insurance and actuarial applications.
Starting point: SOA + IFoAInspect public datasets and test a focused question.
Starting point: NGFS + Copernicus + ACIDocument assumptions, uncertainty and decision relevance.
Output: a transparent model noteWho it is for
The guide is intentionally concise. It is designed to help readers find a credible starting point and then build confidence through structured practice.
Use the four-week study plan as an independent learning exercise or as a starting point for a university project.
Practice moving from evidence and scenarios to assumptions, limitations, governance and decision relevance.
The guide can support classroom discussion, independent study or a short practitioner-oriented assignment.
Eight pages · September 2026 · Arocha & Associates GmbH
From self-study to team application
When the next step is team alignment or capability building, A&A can adapt the learning path into a tailored working session built around your organisation's decisions, maturity and climate-risk priorities.
This learning path is provided for educational and informational purposes. Readers should confirm the current release, assumptions and limitations of any third-party sources or models before applying them to a specific decision.